This is not a matter of sentiment or symbolism. It is a matter of strategic foresight, demographic realism, and governance preparedness.
1. Military Capability Is Not the Issue
India’s armed forces are among the most experienced in high-altitude warfare. The Kargil conflict, surgical strikes, and sustained counterinsurgency operations in Kashmir have demonstrated operational readiness. Most recently, Operation Sindoor India’s decisive multi- domain retaliation following the Pahalgam terror attack showcased the country’s ability to execute precision strikes across land, air, and sea. The operation neutralized key Pakistani assets, demonstrated tri-service coordination, and reaffirmed India’s capacity to act under the nuclear shadow. If the objective were purely military, India could act. But military success is only the beginning. Sustainable integration demands far more: civilian infrastructure, political legitimacy, economic rehabilitation, and long-term security stabilization. These are not short-term wins they are generational commitments.
2. Demographics Have Shifted Irreversibly?
Over the past seven decades, the population in POJKGB has undergone systematic demographic engineering:
- Displacement of original Dogra, Shia, and non-Muslim communities
- Radicalization through madrasa networks and ideological indoctrination
- Erosion of cultural and linguistic ties with Jammu and Kashmir
Reclaiming territory is one thing. Reclaiming hearts and minds especially those raised under anti-India narratives is another. Any reintegration effort must grapple with the psychological and generational alienation that now defines the region.
3. Governance Vacuum and Institutional Absence
Unlike Indian-administered Jammu and Kashmir, POJKGB lacks:
- Panchayati Raj institutions
- Independent judiciary
- Transparent electoral systems
- Civil society frameworks
India would need to build governance from scratch not just administratively, but socially and culturally. This is not a plug-and-play exercise. It requires deep state capacity, sustained investment, and a patient, participatory approach.
4. Diplomatic and Strategic Calculus
A military move would not go unnoticed. China, a stakeholder in Gilgit-Baltistan via CPEC, would react. So would the Islamic world and Western powers invested in regional stability.
India must weigh:
- The risk of two-front escalation
- Potential economic sanctions or diplomatic isolation
- The long-term reputational cost of perceived aggression
The smarter path may lie in diplomatic assertion, information warfare, and supporting internal dissent not tanks and troops.
5. Reframing the Narrative: From PoK to POJKGB
The term “PoK” is reductive. It erases the distinct identities of Jammu, Kashmir Valley, and Gilgit-Baltistan each with its own history, grievances, and strategic value.
A more accurate framing Pakistan-Occupied Jammu, Kashmir, and Gilgit-Baltistan (POJKGB) is not just semantic. It is a strategic necessity. Precision in language reflects precision in policy.
Conclusion: The Real Test Is Not War, But What Comes After India’s claim over POJKGB is legally sound and militarily feasible. But reclaiming territory is not the same as reclaiming people. The real challenge lies in winning minds, rebuilding institutions, and sustaining peace.
This is not a sprint. It is a marathon of statecraft, storytelling, and strategic patience.
The question is not can we, but should we and how...